GFS and GEFS Still Showing More Trouble in the Tropics


Previously, the GFS was showing another Matthew barreling across Cuba and the Caribbean again. We are concerned that this would become a short-term pattern. The GFS, and GEFS ensembles are indicating another Carribben Hurricane anytime between the 23-28th of this month.

What is interesting to note is that this storm will have a similar origin as Matthew, well below Cuba and near South America. We will have to keep an eye on this, as the models have been consistent with spinning up a storm.

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GFS for around Oct 28 courtesy of Tropical Tidbits
GEFS ensemble low pressure locations for Oct 25. Courtesy of Tropical Tidbits

Author: Michael Griffith

I have had a passion for the weather since a very young age and am a degreed meteorologist. I have a Bachelor of Science from Penn State University and a Master's from Plymouth State University. If you ever see me out and about in the Charlotte, NC area, be sure to say hi!

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