Another Late-Week Remnant Tropical Cyclone Expected to Drench the Region

Much like last week, a tropical troublemaker hitting the Gulf states will swing northeast into the region. What was once Tropical Storm Beta will move into the western Carolinas on Thursday and then slowly cross the rest of the region on Friday.

Rain chances increase from the west on Thursday as Beta’s remains approach. Some of the rain will be moderate to heavy.

The good news is that Beta will not be expected to produce widespread flooding like the remains of Sally did last week, and chances for severe weather are very low. Beta is responsible for causing flooding in the Houston, Texas, region this week, with amounts up to 14 inches measured in just a 3 day period. But those excessive amounts are not expected this far northeast.

National Weather Service radar from Houston recorded over 14 inches in southern parts of Houston this week.

Forecast models show generally 1-2 inches of rain will fall across the area, though a few places in the western Carolinas could exceed 3 inches.

European model forecast rainfall totals through early Saturday (weathermodels.com)

The weather should improve over the weekend with lingering moisture providing chances for leftover showers each day, with the next widespread rain event coming with a cold front on Monday.

European model tropical development probability next weekend, with two areas to watch. (weathermodels.com)

The tropics will be on fall break for a week, but models show activity will ramp back up early in October, with two areas of potential development: one coming off of Africa and a long way off, but one forming in bath water over the western Caribbean that we need to watch the week of October 5th. Some models show a tropical threat to the Southeast and East Coast in early to mid October.

We’ll keep you posted as these potential threats look to unfold starting next weekend. Until then, stay dry!

-CWA

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Author: Michael Griffith

I have had a passion for the weather since a very young age and am a degreed meteorologist. I have a Bachelor of Science from Penn State University and a Master's from Plymouth State University. If you ever see me out and about in the Charlotte, NC area, be sure to say hi!