Another Late-Week Remnant Tropical Cyclone Expected to Drench the Region

Much like last week, a tropical troublemaker hitting the Gulf states will swing northeast into the region. What was once Tropical Storm Beta will move into the western Carolinas on Thursday and then slowly cross the rest of the region on Friday.

Rain chances increase from the west on Thursday as Beta’s remains approach. Some of the rain will be moderate to heavy.

The good news is that Beta will not be expected to produce widespread flooding like the remains of Sally did last week, and chances for severe weather are very low. Beta is responsible for causing flooding in the Houston, Texas, region this week, with amounts up to 14 inches measured in just a 3 day period. But those excessive amounts are not expected this far northeast.

National Weather Service radar from Houston recorded over 14 inches in southern parts of Houston this week.

Forecast models show generally 1-2 inches of rain will fall across the area, though a few places in the western Carolinas could exceed 3 inches.

European model forecast rainfall totals through early Saturday (weathermodels.com)

The weather should improve over the weekend with lingering moisture providing chances for leftover showers each day, with the next widespread rain event coming with a cold front on Monday.

European model tropical development probability next weekend, with two areas to watch. (weathermodels.com)

The tropics will be on fall break for a week, but models show activity will ramp back up early in October, with two areas of potential development: one coming off of Africa and a long way off, but one forming in bath water over the western Caribbean that we need to watch the week of October 5th. Some models show a tropical threat to the Southeast and East Coast in early to mid October.

We’ll keep you posted as these potential threats look to unfold starting next weekend. Until then, stay dry!

-CWA

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Author: Joshua Nagelberg

Josh is a meteorologist based in Raleigh with over 15 years experience, including over 5 years as a consulting event meteorologist, specializing in golf, athletics, and recreation. He is married with a daughter and pet lovebirds and a turtle. He also co-owns other online retail businesses and is a business mentor and coach. He is a Penn State grad from Baton Rouge, Louisiana. Josh is answering his calling to help others succeed in life and make conscious decisions when it comes to weather.