The latest Climate Forecast System model, or CFS, is indicating above normal temperatures for much of North America for the month of April. While the whole month will not likely be blazing hot, there are a couple of days next month where we could hit 90.
This will come in the wake of a relatively cool start to the month, as it will not last and we will quickly warm up. The CFS v2 model has much of the continent pasted with above normal temperature anomalies with today’s run:
If this verifies, record early-season warmth could spread from the Plains and east ahead of schedule this year. Also, a concerning warm spell for Canada could occur next month. What does this mean? An early start to cutting grass and planting. Although late season frost and freezes are possible, it does not look like that will be an issue this year.
Pools may be able to open early across the South. Beach resorts may get busier sooner than expected since people will flock to the water.
Right now we give this about a 55-60% chance of happening. This could just be model feedback with a warm bias, and the CFS is known for this. But one month out it is sometimes fairly accurate.
The takeaway is don’t expect it to stay cold late this year. Yes May can have surprises but not if we hit 90 in April!