The last few July Fourth holidays featured plenty of sunshine and fairly hot and humid conditions across the Carolinas – complete with afternoon and evening fireworks courtesy of Mother Nature! Well some changes are coming this year. The weather leading up to the weekend will likely remain unsettled as an upper level trough in the Eastern U.S. splits off, and clouds and unsettled weather drift southwest into the Deep South and Gulf Coast regions. A cold front will likely push southwest and wash out just to our southwest.
While it’s unlikely that July Fourth or the rest of the weekend will be a washout, the trend is likely for rather humid and mostly cloudy weather, with widely scattered showers. Closer to the front across the western Carolinas and Savannah River Valley, it will be a little more unsettled with the risk for thunderstorms. Farther northeast of Raleigh, we expect to see lower chances for rain and higher chances for sunshine. The beaches will not be a washout either day, but chances for some showers increase the farther south you go. In addition, low pressure may be stalled offshore and keep the Outer Banks in a cool and overcast setup.
Temperatures are expected to remain slightly below average, with most inland locations topping out in the 80s. A few spots could climb past 90, but the overall flavor is for mild temperatures. Mountain and foothill locations may not get out of the 70s due to clouds and expected showers. The Outer Banks, especially north of Hatteras, might struggle to climb past 70 if skies stay cloudy. If we could assign a number on a 1-10 scale, we’d give this year’s holiday a 4.
Stay tuned to CWA as forecasts may change over the next 8 days!