Severe storms are possible across much of eastern and northern NC Monday, which could bring damaging winds and hail. The tornado threat is low but not zero.
According to NOAA SPC, the threat for severe storms will increase with daytime heating, as the hot air will provide fuel for storms.
Latest from the SPC:
As the seasonably moist pre-frontal boundary layer heats through the afternoon, destabilization will fuel development of scattered to numerous thunderstorms. Given the aforementioned strong flow aloft, storms will quickly organize, some growing into fast-moving clusters. Along with risk for hail, damaging winds should be become increasingly widespread through the afternoon. Additionally, low-level southerly/south-southeasterly flow is forecast, particularly from portions of Virginia northward into New York. Resulting enhancement to the low-level shear suggests potential for a couple of tornadoes, as well. Storms/severe risk will continue through the afternoon and into the evening, until the front nears/clears the coast. Risk will diminish with southward extent from the Carolinas southward, where flow aloft will be a bit weaker. Still, locally strong wind gusts may occur as far south as Georgia during peak afternoon convective intensity.
If you live in the yellow in NC or VA, monitor the weather tomorrow for warnings and any safety actions if needed. Consult your local NWS office for all official weather-related decision making.
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