EXTREMELY ACTIVE ATLANTIC BASIN
As we are in September we are also in a very busy time of hurricane season. The Atlantic and Gulf are currently very active, with ongoing tropical systems. Currently, the remnants of Imelda have caused devastating flooding the Houston and southeast Texas areas, with water rescues and damage to homes and properties. This system made landfall as a minimal tropical storm earlier this week.
Humberto has brought some extreme conditions to parts of Bermuda this past week, including over 100 mph winds for parts of the Island. This hurricane is now moving off into the North Atlantic and will not be an issue for the US mainland.
There are also two areas in yellow, which have a 10% chance of formation for the one near Hispaniola, and a 30% chance for the one approaching the Lesser Antilles. these waves may have to be watched but have a low chance by the NHC.
The area in orange just west of Africa currently has a 50% chance of formation, and this system has already taken a slightly northwest track, but should be monitored over the coming week for any changes in a more westward track. So, currently the two yellow areas and especially the orange area are the ones to watch. NHC summary graphic below:
What about Jerry? He will make a northward turn and will stay away from the US mainland, however he could be another big issue for Bermuda. They do not need anymore damage since parts to the island were just ravaged by Humberto. He is forecast to come very close to Bermuda as either a category 1 or 2 hurricane around Tuesday next week.
As the two yellow areas and the orange areas potentially develop, we will keep an eye on these disturbances to see if they pose any threat to the US mainland.
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