Currently we are in an abnormal what-would-be-otherwise Arctic outbreak. However the sting will fade as we go from Saturday night and later on Sunday into a slowly evolving warmup. Then there are some fronts, or rain systems moving up from the Gulf that will bring more below average temps, or swings. This also plays up the threat for severe storms since they come before these swings.
Below is our overall thinking for the rest of this month, through the 30th:
In this case, the above normals and the below normals will average out to near normal for most of the central and western Carolinas, while locations closer to the coast could see some more elevated temperatures this month. It would be due to the proximity to the coast where the ocean keeps temps warmer. However, this is a “normal” concept.
I wonder if persistence wins and we all go mostly normal temp-wise into the end of the month. Here is a period of below normal, from the 11th to the 17th:
So overall we should remain in a fairly normal pattern for April. Nothing too extremely hot like we said last month. That forecast of ours has now changed to normal with slightly above along the coast. Again, nothing in the extreme categories, although some days could hit 90 and others maybe in the 40s again.
But watch our for severe. There could be something on the table as we turn the corner into next week (Easter). The Carolinas are shaded with a 60% chance for severe, however I believe these use analogs so we will see. Especially since the below is for next Saturday the 10th, a whole week away:
In the meantime enjoy the Spring weather which is finally here and will make it’s presence known this month.