The spot that the NHC is watching into this weekend now has an 80% chance of development. This will likely be Arthur, and could be a tropical storm before moving out to sea. There is little impact expected to the US coastline from this system. The timing for this activity will be from Friday into Saturday, however the Outer Banks may get brushed by some outer rain bands Sunday into Monday
Latest from the National Hurricane Center (NHC):
An 80% chance of formation over the next 5 days and a minimum tropical storm is what we are thinking. We think that the Outer Banks could experience some wind and waves on Sunday into Monday, but nothing to panic about or anything too serious.
The Euro is in good agreement that this potential tropical storms will take on a northeastward track after it forms.
Latest GFS shows what could be Arthur lingering just off the NC coast Monday before pulling out to sea:
At this point, all this is is just something to watch! There are no serious impacts expected to land at this time.
Honestly, it gives the news (and us) something else to talk about besides covid.