With a tropical system in the news headlines, all eyes are turning to the Gulf later this week and this weekend. If a tropical does form, it will be Barry. Potential Barry could strengthen just before landfall which is looking like Louisiana at this point. The exact location of landfall won’t matter, since Barry’s effects will stretch hundreds of miles from the center.
The biggest concern, and thus a high impact threat, will be flooding associated with torrential rains. This could be a huge issue especially for southern portions of Louisiana.
Other issues will be extended power outages as potential hurricane-force winds could take down trees and power lines. Sustained winds of 74mph with higher gusts are loking possible at this point for parts in the red. Also tornadoes occur on the right side of tropical systems.
Moderate impacts could extend into Arkansas as heavy tropical rains will fall along with tropical storm-force winds. Elsewhere, green is the lower end of the impact scales which is likely minor flooding.
The Euro model has been consistent with taking a category 1 hurricane into southern Louisiana. New Orleans will have to watch this developing situation.
Intensity forecasts are tricky since rapid intensification can occur just before landfall. However conditions would have to be favorable for this to occur.
We will update as we get close to landfall!
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