We have been following the potential for a coastal low of either sub-tropical or tropical origin. The timing is on Monday, and honestly anywhere from Monday morning to Monday night.
Below is the GFS model valid Monday morning, showing what could be a tropical depression hitting the coasts of NE SC and SE NC. This location is not exact, as it could track more north, so there is still some track uncertainty.
Either way, we don’t expect this system to have major impacts. There could be heavy rains that will cause flooding, but nothing major in the way of damaging winds, other than perhaps some scattered power outages. When it all comes out in the wash, this will likely not be anything more than a weak coastal “nor’easter.”
The latest Euro model hardly spins this thing up at all. So if we use a blend between both models, we get a relatively weak system in between. This will just be a temporary nuisance on Monday we are thinking. Highway travel could be trickier than usual as well as the local roads, especially when wet.
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