Holiday Weekend Forecast Remains Unsettled

After a warm and relatively quiet start to the workweek, the forecast becomes a little more unsettled as we head to the July Fourth holiday weekend. A trough of low pressure over the Eastern U.S. will cut down on our heat and bring more clouds and moisture. The weekend does not look to be a washout either day, but we do feel somewhat confident that there will be a little more cloud cover than bright sunshine, and humidity will stay typical for early July. So at this point, we recommend you not cancel any outdoor plans, but do be prepared for the possibility of some rain each day.

NWS forecast highs for the the Fourth of July (Saturday) will be slightly below average

Temperatures will likely reach the 80s for both days of the weekend, but a few spots around the I-85 corridor could inch past 90. These temperatures will be just a hair below average. Today’s forecast models have trended a bit warmer into the 90s, but we aren’t ready to pull the trigger just yet, as a front remains perched nearby.

NWS forecast highs for Sunday don’t change much from Saturday

At this point, it’s tough to pinpoint exact rainfall amounts and if there will be any stronger storms. It is likely the higher rainfall amounts are confined to the High Country with day time heating leading to more numerous showers and storms there – but with the trough nearby, we caution that any of those cells could drift onto the Piedmont. Coastal areas aren’t immune from clouds and pop-up showers and storms either. But forecast models aren’t as bullish with rain totals there. So for now, our forecast remains largely unchanged.

Keep it tuned to CWA as we continue to fine-tune the weekend forecast, and Happy Fourth to our loyal fans!


Author: Joshua Nagelberg

Josh is a meteorologist based in Raleigh with over 15 years experience, including over 5 years as a consulting event meteorologist, specializing in golf, athletics, and recreation. He is married with a daughter and pet lovebirds and a turtle. He also co-owns other online retail businesses and is a business mentor and coach. He is a Penn State grad from Baton Rouge, Louisiana. Josh is answering his calling to help others succeed in life and make conscious decisions when it comes to weather.