As hurricane season is well underway, the month of July is up next and presents possibilities for the formation of tropical storms and hurricanes. While July is not an extremely active month of the hurricane season, we can see the threat for a random hurricane.
In July, hurricane tracks are typically closer to “home” where formations mainly occur just off the East Coast. On average, the storms then recurve out to see or take more of a northerly turn after formation. The Gulf is also a breeding ground for July storms. An area in the eastern Caribbean is also another possible area of origin for tropical cyclones during July.
However, July is not the peak of hurricane season. Shear and other upper-level patterns are not quite ideal for a powerful hurricane. Ocean water temperatures also have not had time to heat up to optimal temperatures.
The graphic above clearly shows that the peak of hurricane season is in September. As we draw closer to September, tropical activity will be on the rise.
Keep an eye out during July for tropical cyclones to form even if it isn’t the peak of our season. Anyone taking a cruise to the Caribbean or is planning a beach trip should stay informed of the tropics.
East Coast Weather Authority
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