We had Alberto over Memorial Day, and we may have another system that will emerge from the western Caribbean. If this is the case and the GFS verifies, we could have a strong storm than Alberto. As of right now, the GFS takes this potential storm directly into the Florida Panhandle, just east of Pensacola. The pressure at landfall could be 973 millibars or a strong tropical storm/category 1 hurricane.
This is concerning given that it’s still early in the season and we have already had an “open door” in the Gulf for tropical systems.
Would this storm affect the Carolinas? It will weaken before it does, but it will also turn east after it makes landfall. Much of western NC and SC could be under the gun for more heavy rains where it’s not needed.
The rain totals from this potential tropical system next Saturday the 16th could be troublesome for some locations across the Carolinas, especially the NC mountains.
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-Mike G
ECWA
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