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GEFS Ensembles Continue to Show Below Average into Late August

August 10, 2017 By Michael Griffith

THE TREND IS YOUR FRIEND, WHEN MODEL AGREEMENT OCCURS The GEFS ensembles continue to agree on a cooler Southeast US through a majority of thisRead More

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Euro Shows Two Tropical Waves Moving into Carribbean

August 2, 2017 By Michael Griffith

EURO SHOWS TWO TROPICAL WAVES OVER THE NEXT WEEK Latest run of the Euro shows two distinct tropical waves. One that forms near or overRead More

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Invest 93L Likely Headed to Louisiana or Texas, But Not As a Strong Storm

June 19, 2017 By Michael Griffith

Invest 93L has been making news headlines recently. While this storm is entering the Gulf of Mexico, it is not expected to become a monsterRead More

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Dangerous Severe Weather Likely Monday For Most

June 17, 2017 By Michael Griffith

A cold front pushes through from the Midwest on Monday into the Eastern US. This front will bring very nasty storms with it, with theRead More

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Nino Models Heading to Neutral and What That Means

June 16, 2017 By Michael Griffith

Previous model plumes have shown that there could be a weak to moderate El Nino for this summer, fall, and spring. However, the latest runRead More

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Model Forecasts Have Begun on Invest 92L, the Wave that Came off Africa Recently

June 16, 2017 By Michael Griffith

Now that the disturbance in the South Atlantic has a status, Invest 92L, models are now available for forecasts. The GEFS guidance is listed below,Read More

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Wet Weekend Ahead for Many

June 16, 2017 By Michael Griffith

It always seems like it’s nice during the week, sunshine, grills, pools, and then  when the weekend hits everything goes downhill weather-wise. Unfortunately, that isRead More

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Much More Rain in Store for the East

June 12, 2017 By Michael Griffith

The heat will not last. It won’t even get as hot as first expected in many locations, due to forecast model error. Sometimes the GFSRead More

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Weak El Nino Could Mean Active Hurricane Season and Winter

June 9, 2017 By Michael Griffith

6/9/2017 If we take a look at the cluster of models forecasting the Nino index, it appears that many of them have backed off theRead More

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GFS and Canadian Model Sniffing Out Trouble in the Gulf Later This Month

June 9, 2017 By Michael Griffith

6-9-2017 The magic day seems to be around the 19th, when we could see some kind of a tropical disturbance in the Gulf. The intensityRead More

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