Category: Hurricane Season

Hurricane season is still a month away, but that does not mean we can’t see a tropical cyclone impact the East coast. We are currentlyRead More

Nate will most likely make landfall tonight as a Category 2 hurricane along the Gulf Coast. Residents living along the coast near and east ofRead More

The NHC forecast track for Maria has shifted slightly to the east, as also some of the models have. There is still some concern forRead More

COMPARISON OF THE GFS, EURO, AND CANADIAN Well, here we go again. We were discussing the three major models with Irma and what they meantRead More

Hurricane Jose has some track uncertainty still, however it now looks like he is trending a little bit more west than before. This puts easternRead More

WHY MODELS ARE RARELY ACCURATE There have been many of times where we see a post and it’s a model image, and it’s one ofRead More

When we can’t get good model agreement, typically that is grounds for a low-confidence forecast. When confidence is low, sometimes the scenario does not unfoldRead More

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Irma is in the Caribbean currently wreaking havoc with Cuba, and then will make a northward turn Saturday into Sunday. The forecastRead More

Here is one scenario I am seeing for the path of Irma. Another scenario will shift over east with time. Anywhere along the Southeast CoastRead More

Hello members, Here is my current thinking on the forecast track for Irma. The nice cool autumn airmass on top of us right now willRead More